NOV. 15 – 18, 2021

Better estimation and planning

Gil Zilberfeld

Different estimation methods

Tracking velocity and progress metrics

Visual status and Cumulative Flow Diagrams metrics

Estimating the un-estimatable (research, refactoring, automation, etc)


Better estimation and planning

Explore estimation methods, metrics and visualization to predict the future

Different methods for estimation and planning. Metrics and visualization help us improve our plans.

When will it be done?

From the dawn of time, we're asking: How long will the project take, and when can we see something working. Especially in our agile era when the market, technology and skills shift so quickly, we need to communicate estimates clearly and plan effectively, in the sea of uncertainty.


Over time, we've collected a few methods of estimation. We're going to discuss and experiment with them in this workshop, and taste what works and what doesn't. In addition, we're going to see what metrics we need to collect as we go, and how to interpret them to meaningful projection. Finally, we'll see if (and when) the NoEstimates method may be the right answer.


What attendees will be able to do after the workshop:

  • Select a method of estimation to try
  • Track velocity statistics
  • Build a Cumulative Flow Diagram and communicate metrics from it
  • Plan for the unknown (research, refactoring, automation)


Topics covered in the workshop:

  • Why planning and estimation is important (and to whom)
  • Dealing with the uncertain and the unknown
  • Reducing risks in planning and reporting
  • Estimation methods (relative, story points, cumulative flow)
  • Pros and cons of the different methods
  • Estimating the unknown
  • Projection methods and meaning (MonteCarlo simulations)
  • Getting real with NoEstimates


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